FOOT PRINTS OF TERROR OF EVERY MAJOR ACT OF INTERNATIONAL ISLAMIST TERRIOSM INVARIBALY PASSES THROUGH PAKISTAN?

Pakistan's descent towards state failure gathered momentum in year 2008. Conflict data and broad governance indicators demonstrate that Pakistan is, today, a nation at war with itself. The country's progressive collapse has been much more rapid and irretrievable than most had envisaged. In a vast swathe of Pakistani territory today, the state has simply withered away. A wide array of militant groups is currently engaged in varying degrees of violence and subversion across the country. A cursory look at the map indicates that the North West Frontier Province (NWFP), the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA), and Balochistan are witnessing large-scale violence and insurrections. Violence also increasingly afflicts parts of Punjab, Sindh, and the Gilgit-Baltistan region. Islamabad's writ is thus being challenged vigorously - violently or otherwise - in wide geographical areas, and on a multiplicity of issues. More than half of the territory presently under Pakistan's control, including Gilgit-Baltistan and 'Azad Jammu and Kashmir', has passed outside the realm of civil governance and fast spiralling out of the control of the armed forces.

Amidst multiple insurgencies, there is current uncertainty over what constitutes state leadership in Pakistan. President Asif Ali Zardari, Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani, the Chief of Army Staff (COAS) General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, the ISI and the military establishment are all competing for power, with each of these players further complicating the situation in the pursuit of divergent personal and partisan agendas. Adding urgency to these struggles is the reported conflict between the President and Prime Minister. The News in its January 1, 2009, editorial noted:

Tales of 'differences' between the two have been circulating for weeks, but have never been of sufficient substance to create the warp-and-weft of hard(ish) news until now… Taken all together and looked at with a critical eye, this batch of rumours and corridors-of-power bedtime stories begins to look like an all-too-familiar real-time scenario rather than the product of the fevered imagination of journalists. An all-powerful President once again is set against a would-be-if-allowed powerful Prime Minister who might just be flexing his muscles for a bit of a tussle.

In an environment of escalating militancy and consequent violence in Pakistan, these complexities and contradictions severely undermine capacities for governance and for the restoration of order.

At the beginning of 2008, the hopes of the US, and many elsewhere, rested essentially on the fact that a "democratically-elected regime will be a more natural partner than the military." It is now clear that Pakistan's transition from the disastrous military rule of General Pervez Musharraf to an apparently democratic dispensation has only worsened the crisis in the country. Figures for 2008 and the narrative over the year have seen a further escalation of the multiple insurgencies under the PPPg regime. Pakistan, at the moment, displays most of the risk factors which could lead to what the U.S. Joint Forces Command describes as a "rapid and sudden collapse." The Joint Operating Environment report, which analyses global security trends, says Pakistan, in the event of such a rapid collapse, would be susceptible to a "violent and bloody civil and sectarian war", made more dangerous by concerns over the country's nuclear arsenal. Pakistan's recent history leaves little scope for optimism.

Obama has recently again offered to bail out Pakistan by funding them to fight militancy???????? I wonder why the US policy makers are repeating the blunder again and again. <--------->mt

The Taliban and al-Qaeda’s increased latitude in Pakistan’s tribal areas has resulted in a surge of terrorist strikes throughout the region, including recent suicide bombings Pakistan.

This flood of terrorist activity is also undermining U.S. military operations in Afghanistan, where attacks against U.S. and allied forces have spiked in recent months. U.S. commanders in Afghanistan say attacks have increased in eastern Afghanistan by 40 percent since Pakistan began pursuing peace deals in the region this past spring.

Domestic Instability - A highly unstable and unpredictable political situation in Pakistan is contributing to the lack of an effective policy against the growing militant threat in the northwest. Pakistan faces severe economic imbalances created by the unexpected high oil and food prices that are threatening to lead to a foreign exchange crisis in the next few months. Additionally, the two main governing coalition partners—the Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) and the Pakistan Muslim League/Nawaz (PML/N)—are still squabbling.

It is high time that US and the world address this issue on a war footing before it faces another 9/11, a number of Taliban leaders have hinted in that direction.

Appeasing Pakistan with Money and equipment will not help, what might help is the strengthening of a Democractic Govt and loosining the strangle hold of the Pak army and ISI on the civil society of Pakistan. ^---^

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